Advertisement
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Third Electoral System, 1853-1892 Paul Kleppner, 2017-10-10 This analysis of the contours and social bases of mass voting behavior in the United States over the course of the third electoral era, from 1853 to 1892, provides a deep and rich understanding of the ways in which ethnoreligious values shaped party combat in the late nineteenth century. It was this uniquely American mode of political confessionals that underlay the distinctive characteristics of the era's electoral universe. In its exploration of the the political roles of native and immigrant ethnic and religious groups, this study bridges the gap between political and social history. The detailed analysis of ethnoreligious experiences, values, and beliefs is integrated into an explanation of the relationship between group political subcultures and partisan preferences which wil be of interest to political sociologists, political scientists, and also political and social historians. Unlike other works of this genre, this book is not confined to a single description of the voting patterns of a single state, or of a series of states in one geographic region, but cuts across states and regions, while remaining sensitive to the enormously significant ways in which political and historical context conditioned mass political behavior. The author accomplishes this remarkable fusion by weaving the small patterns evident in detailed case studies into a larger overview of the electoral system. The result is a unified conceptual framework that can be used to understand both American political behavior duing an important era and the general preconditions of social-group political consciousness. Challenging in major ways the liberal-rational assumptions that have dominated political history, the book provides the foundation for a synthesis of party tactics, organizational practices, public rhetoric, and elite and mass behaviors. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost, Aaron C. Kay, Hulda Thorisdottir, 2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings together several of the most prominent social and political psychologists who are responsible for the resurgence of interest in the study of ideology, broadly defined. Leading scientists and scholars from several related disciplines, including psychology, sociology, political science, law, and organizational behavior present their cutting-edge theorizing and research. Topics include the social, personality, cognitive and motivational antecedents and consequences of adopting liberal versus conservative ideologies, the social and psychological functions served by political and religious ideologies, and the myriad ways in which people defend, bolster, and justify the social systems they inhabit. This book is the first of its kind, bringing together formerly independent lines of research on ideology and system justification. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Voter Turnout and the Dynamics of Electoral Competition in Established Democracies Since 1945 Mark N. Franklin, 2004-04-19 Voting is a habit. People learn the habit of voting, or not, based on experience in their first few elections. Elections that do not stimulate high turnout among young adults leave a 'footprint' of low turnout in the age structure of the electorate as many individuals who were new at those elections fail to vote at subsequent elections. Elections that stimulate high turnout leave a high turnout footprint. So a country's turnout history provides a baseline for current turnout that is largely set, except for young adults. This baseline shifts as older generations leave the electorate and as changes in political and institutional circumstances affect the turnout of new generations. Among the changes that have affected turnout in recent years, the lowering of the voting age in most established democracies has been particularly important in creating a low turnout footprint that has grown with each election. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Myth of the Independent Voter Bruce E. Keith, 1992-06-17 Debunking conventional wisdom about voting patterns and allaying recent concerns about electoral stability and possible third party movements, the authors uncover faulty practices that have resulted in a skewed sense of the American voting population. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Voting Experiments André Blais, Jean-François Laslier, Karine Van der Straeten, 2016-10-03 This book presents a collection of papers illustrating the variety of experimental methodologies used to study voting. Experimental methods include laboratory experiments in the tradition of political psychology, laboratory experiments with monetary incentives, in the economic tradition, survey experiments (varying survey, question wording, framing or content), as well as various kinds of field experimentation. Topics include the behavior of voters (in particular turnout, vote choice, and strategic voting), the behavior of parties and candidates, and the comparison of electoral rules. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The American Voter Angus Campbell, University of Michigan. Survey Research Center, 1980-09-15 On voting behavior in the United States |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Unstable Majorities Morris P. Fiorina, 2017-11-01 America is currently fighting its second Civil War. Partisan politics are ripping this country apart. The 2016 election will go down as the most acrimonious presidential campaign of all. Such statements have become standard fare in American politics. In a time marked by gridlock and incivility, it seems the only thing Americans can agree on is this: we're more divided today than we've ever been in our history. In Unstable Majorities Morris P. Fiorina surveys American political history to reveal that, in fact, the American public is not experiencing a period of unprecedented polarization. Bypassing the alarmism that defines contemporary punditry, he cites research and historical context that illuminate the forces that shape voting patterns, political parties, and voter behavior. By placing contemporary events in their proper context, he corrects widespread misconceptions and gives reasons to be optimistic about the future of American electoral politics. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Legislative Effectiveness in the United States Congress Craig Volden, Alan E. Wiseman, 2014-10-27 This book explores why some members of Congress are more effective than others at navigating the legislative process and what this means for how Congress is organized and what policies it produces. Craig Volden and Alan E. Wiseman develop a new metric of individual legislator effectiveness (the Legislative Effectiveness Score) that will be of interest to scholars, voters, and politicians alike. They use these scores to study party influence in Congress, the successes or failures of women and African Americans in Congress, policy gridlock, and the specific strategies that lawmakers employ to advance their agendas. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Making of the New Deal Democrats Gerald H. Gamm, 1989 Why is The Making of New Deal Democrats so significant? One of the major controversies in the study of American elections has to do with the nature of electoral realignments. One school argues that a realignment involves a major shift of voters from one party to another, while another school argues that the process consists largely of mobilization of previously inactive voters. The debate is crucial for understanding the nature of the New Deal realignment. Almost all previous work on the subject has dealt with large-scale national patterns which make it difficult to pin down the precise processes by which the alignment took place. Gamm's work is most remarkable in that it is a close analysis of shifting voter alignments on the precinct and block level in the city of Boston. His extremely detailed and painstaking work of isolating homogeneous ethnic units over a twenty-year period allows one to trace the voting behavior of the particular ethnic groups that ultimately formed the core of the New Deal realignment.—Sidney Verba, Harvard University |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Counting on the Latino Vote Louis DeSipio, 1998 Latinos, along with other new immigrants, are not being incorporated into U.S. politics as rapidly as their predecessors, raising concerns about political fragmentation along ethnic lines. In Counting on the Latino Vote, Louis DeSipio uses the first national studies of Latinos to investigate whether they engage in bloc voting or are likely to do so in the future. To understand American racial and ethnic minority group politics, social scientists have largely relied on a black-white paradigm. DeSipio gives a more complex picture by drawing both on the histories of other ethnic groups and on up-to-date but underutilized studies of Hispanics' political attitudes, values, and behaviors. In order to explore the potential impact of Hispanics as an electorate, he analyzes the current Latino body politic and projects the possible voting patterns of those who reside in the United States but do not now vote. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: A Century of Votes for Women Christina Wolbrecht, J. Kevin Corder, 2020-01-30 Examines how and why American women voted since the Nineteenth Amendment was ratified in 1920. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State Andrew Gelman, 2009-12-07 On the night of the 2000 presidential election, Americans watched on television as polling results divided the nation's map into red and blue states. Since then the color divide has become symbolic of a culture war that thrives on stereotypes--pickup-driving red-state Republicans who vote based on God, guns, and gays; and elitist blue-state Democrats woefully out of touch with heartland values. With wit and prodigious number crunching, Andrew Gelman debunks these and other political myths. This expanded edition includes new data and easy-to-read graphics explaining the 2008 election. Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State is a must-read for anyone seeking to make sense of today's fractured political landscape. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Social Democratic Parties and the Working Class Line Rennwald, 2020-07-21 This open access book carefully explores the relationship between social democracy and its working-class electorate in Western Europe. Relying on different indicators, it demonstrates an important transformation in the class basis of social democracy. At the beginning of the twenty-first century, the working-class vote is strongly fragmented and social democratic parties face competition on multiple fronts for their core electorate – and not only from radical right parties. Starting from a reflection on ‘working-class parties’ and using a sophisticated class schema, the book paints a nuanced and diversified picture of the trajectory of social democracy that goes beyond a simple shift from working-class to middle-class parties. Following a detailed description, the book reviews possible explanations of workers' new voting patterns and emphasizes the crucial changes in parties' ideologies. It closes with a discussion on the role of the working class in social democracy's future electoral strategies. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Rationalizing Voter Milton Lodge, Charles S. Taber, 2013 Political behavior is the result of innumerable unnoticed forces and conscious deliberation is often a rationalization of automatically triggered feelings and thoughts. Citizens are very sensitive to environmental contextual factors such as the title 'President' preceding 'Obama' in a newspaper headline, upbeat music or patriotic symbols accompanying a campaign ad, or question wording and order in a survey, all of which have their greatest influence when citizens are unaware. This book develops and tests a dual-process theory of political beliefs, attitudes and behavior, claiming that all thinking, feeling, reasoning and doing have an automatic component as well as a conscious deliberative component. The authors are especially interested in the impact of automatic feelings on political judgments and evaluations. This research is based on laboratory experiments, which allow the testing of five basic hypotheses: hot cognition, automaticity, affect transfer, affect contagion and motivated reasoning. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Who Votes Now? Jan E. Leighley, Jonathan Nagler, 2013-11-24 Who Votes Now? compares the demographic characteristics and political views of voters and nonvoters in American presidential elections since 1972 and examines how electoral reforms and the choices offered by candidates influence voter turnout. Drawing on a wealth of data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Current Population Survey and the American National Election Studies, Jan Leighley and Jonathan Nagler demonstrate that the rich have consistently voted more than the poor for the past four decades, and that voters are substantially more conservative in their economic views than nonvoters. They find that women are now more likely to vote than men, that the gap in voting rates between blacks and whites has largely disappeared, and that older Americans continue to vote more than younger Americans. Leighley and Nagler also show how electoral reforms such as Election Day voter registration and absentee voting have boosted voter turnout, and how turnout would also rise if parties offered more distinct choices. Providing the most systematic analysis available of modern voter turnout, Who Votes Now? reveals that persistent class bias in turnout has enduring political consequences, and that it really does matter who votes and who doesn't. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Democracy for Realists Christopher H. Achen, Larry M. Bartels, 2017-08-29 Why our belief in government by the people is unrealistic—and what we can do about it Democracy for Realists assails the romantic folk-theory at the heart of contemporary thinking about democratic politics and government, and offers a provocative alternative view grounded in the actual human nature of democratic citizens. Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels deploy a wealth of social-scientific evidence, including ingenious original analyses of topics ranging from abortion politics and budget deficits to the Great Depression and shark attacks, to show that the familiar ideal of thoughtful citizens steering the ship of state from the voting booth is fundamentally misguided. They demonstrate that voters—even those who are well informed and politically engaged—mostly choose parties and candidates on the basis of social identities and partisan loyalties, not political issues. They also show that voters adjust their policy views and even their perceptions of basic matters of fact to match those loyalties. When parties are roughly evenly matched, elections often turn on irrelevant or misleading considerations such as economic spurts or downturns beyond the incumbents' control; the outcomes are essentially random. Thus, voters do not control the course of public policy, even indirectly. Achen and Bartels argue that democratic theory needs to be founded on identity groups and political parties, not on the preferences of individual voters. Now with new analysis of the 2016 elections, Democracy for Realists provides a powerful challenge to conventional thinking, pointing the way toward a fundamentally different understanding of the realities and potential of democratic government. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Retrospective Voting in American National Elections Morris P. Fiorina, 1981-01-01 |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Presidential Swing States David A Schultz, Rafael Jacob, 2018-06-20 In this new and updated volume, the contributors examine the phenomena of presidential swing states in the 2016 presidential election. They explore the reasons why some states and, now counties are the focus of candidate attention, are capable of voting for either of the major candidates, and are decisive in determining who wins the presidency. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Electoral Engineering Pippa Norris, 2004-02-09 From Kosovo to Kabul, the last decade witnessed growing interest in ?electoral engineering?. Reformers have sought to achieve either greater government accountability through majoritarian arrangements or wider parliamentary diversity through proportional formula. Underlying the normative debates are important claims about the impact and consequences of electoral reform for political representation and voting behavior. The study compares and evaluates two broad schools of thought, each offering contracting expectations. One popular approach claims that formal rules define electoral incentives facing parties, politicians and citizens. By changing these rules, rational choice institutionalism claims that we have the capacity to shape political behavior. Alternative cultural modernization theories differ in their emphasis on the primary motors driving human behavior, their expectations about the pace of change, and also their assumptions about the ability of formal institutional rules to alter, rather than adapt to, deeply embedded and habitual social norms and patterns of human behavior. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Voting in Old and New Democracies Richard Gunther, Paul A. Beck, Pedro C. Magalhães, Alejandro Moreno, 2015-08-11 Voting in Old and New Democracies examines voting behavior and its determinants based on 26 surveys from 18 countries on five continents between 1992 and 2008. It systematically analyzes the impact on voting choice of factors rooted in the currently dominant approaches to the study of electoral behavior, but adds to this analysis factors introduced or reintroduced into this field by the Comparative National Elections Project (CNEP)—socio-political values, and political communication through media, personal discussion, and organizational intermediaries. It demonstrates empirically that these long-neglected factors have significant political impact in many countries that previous studies have overlooked, while economic voting is insignificant in most elections once long-term partisan attitudes are taken into consideration. Its examination of electoral turnout finds that the strongest predictor is participation by other family members, demonstrating the importance of intermediation. Another chapter surveys cross-national variations in patterns of intermediation, and examines the impact of general social processes (such as socioeconomic and technological modernization), country-specific factors, and individual-level attitudinal factors as determinants of those patterns. Complementing its cross-national comparative analysis is a detailed longitudinal case study of one country over 25 years. Finally, it examines the extent of support for democracy as well as significant cross-national differences in how democracy is understood by citizens. Written in a clear and accessible style, Voting in Old and New Democracies significantly advances our understanding of citizen attitudes and behavior in election settings. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: A Behavioral Theory of Elections Jonathan Bendor, 2011-02-06 Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. This title provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors - politicians as well as voters - are only boundedly rational. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Citizens, Politics and Social Communication R. Robert Huckfeldt, John Sprague, 1995-01-27 Democratic politics is a collective enterprise, not simply because individual votes are counted to determine winners, but more fundamentally because the individual exercise of citizenship is an interdependent undertaking. Citizens argue with one another and they generally arrive at political decisions through processes of social interaction and deliberation. This book is dedicated to investigating the political implications of interdependent citizens within the context of the 1984 presidential campaign as it was experienced in the metropolitan area of South Bend, Indiana. Hence this is a community study in the fullest sense of the term. National politics is experienced locally through a series of filters unique to a particular setting and its consequences for the exercise of democratic citizenship. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Turnout Gap Bernard L. Fraga, 2018-11-06 Persistent racial/ethnic gaps in voter turnout produce elections that are increasingly unrepresentative of the wishes of all Americans. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Democracies Russell J. Dalton, Scott E. Flanagan, 2017-03-14 In this study of the breakdown of traditional party loyalties and voting patterns, prominent comparativists and country specialists examine the changes now occurring in the political systems of advanced industrial democracies. Originally published in 1985. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Electoral Change Mark N. Franklin, Thomas T. Mackie, Henry Valen, 2009-10-01 Until the last quarter of the 20th Century, Western party systems appeared to be frozen and stability was generally taken to be the central characteristic of individual-level party choice. But during the 1970s and 1980s, in a spasm of change that appeared to occur in all countries, this ceased to be true. Voters in Western countries suddenly demonstrated an unexpected and increasing unpredictability in their choices between parties, often to the extent of voting for parties that are quite new to the political scene. Understanding these fundamental changes became a pressing concern for political scientists and commentators alike, and a matter of extensive controversy and debate. In the middle 1980s, an international team of leading scholars set out to explore the reasons for these shifts in voting patterns in sixteen western countries: all those of the (then) European Community (except for Luxembourg and Portugal), together with Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden and the United States. In this book they report their findings regarding the connections between social divisions and party choice, and the manner in which these links had changed since the mid-1960s. The authors based their country studies on a common research design. By doing so, they were able to focus on the characteristics that the sixteen countries had in common so as to evaluate the extent to which the changes had a common source. This is a longitudinal study, extending over nearly a generation, of changes in voting behaviour that is as fully cross-national as it was possible to produce at the time. Its findings enabled the authors to break away from conventional explanations for electoral change to arrive at conclusions of far-reaching importance. The passage of time has not dated this book, and in this edition the original text is augmented by a new Preface that describes the ways in which the book's findings retain their relevance for contemporary scholarship, and by an Epilogue in which the main analyses reported in the book are brought up to date to the middle 2000s. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Voting Behaviour in Canada Cameron D. Anderson, Laura B. Stephenson, 2011-01-01 Can election results be explained, given that each ballot reflects the influence of countless impressions, decisions, and attachments? Leading young scholars of political behaviour piece together a comprehensive portrait of the modern Canadian voter to reveal the challenges of understanding election results. By systematically exploring the long-standing attachments, short-term influences, and proximate factors that influence our behaviour in the voting booth, this theoretically grounded and methodologically advanced collection sheds new light on the choices we make as citizens and provides important insights into recent national developments. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Lowering the Voting Age to 16 Jan Eichhorn, Johannes Bergh, 2019-11-27 This book explores the consequences of lowering the voting age to 16 from a global perspective, bringing together empirical research from countries where at least some 16-year-olds are able to vote. With the aim to show what really happens when younger people can take part in elections, the authors engage with the key debates on earlier enfranchisement and examine the lead-up to and impact of changes to the voting age in countries across the globe. The book provides the most comprehensive synthesis on this topic, including detailed case studies and broad comparative analyses. It summarizes what can be said about youth political participation and attitudes, and highlights where further research is needed. The findings will be of great interest to researchers working in youth political socialization and engagement, as well as to policymakers, youth workers and activists. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior Jan E. Leighley, 2012-02-16 The Oxford Handbooks of American Politics are the essential guide to the study of American political life in the 21st Century. With engaging contributions from the major figures in the field The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior provides the key point of reference for anyone working in American Politics today |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Get Out the Vote Donald P. Green, Alan S. Gerber, 2008-09-01 The first edition of Get Out the Vote! broke ground by introducing a new scientific approach to the challenge of voter mobilization and profoundly influenced how campaigns operate. In this expanded and updated edition, the authors incorporate data from more than one hundred new studies, which shed new light on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of various campaign tactics, including door-to-door canvassing, e-mail, direct mail, and telephone calls. Two new chapters focus on the effectiveness of mass media campaigns and events such as candidate forums and Election Day festivals. Available in time for the core of the 2008 presidential campaign, this practical guide on voter mobilization is sure to be an important resource for consultants, candidates, and grassroots organizations. Praise for the first edition: Donald P. Green and Alan S. Gerber have studied turnout for years. Their findings, based on dozens of controlled experiments done as part of actual campaigns, are summarized in a slim and readable new book called Get Out the Vote!, which is bound to become a bible for politicians and activists of all stripes. —Alan B. Kreuger, in the New York Times Get Out the Vote! shatters conventional wisdom about GOTV. —Hal Malchow in Campaigns & Elections Green and Gerber's recent book represents important innovations in the study of turnout.—Political Science Review Green and Gerber have provided a valuable resource for grassroots campaigns across the spectrum.—National Journal |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Increasingly United States Daniel J. Hopkins, 2018-05-30 In a campaign for state or local office these days, you’re as likely today to hear accusations that an opponent advanced Obamacare or supported Donald Trump as you are to hear about issues affecting the state or local community. This is because American political behavior has become substantially more nationalized. American voters are far more engaged with and knowledgeable about what’s happening in Washington, DC, than in similar messages whether they are in the South, the Northeast, or the Midwest. Gone are the days when all politics was local. With The Increasingly United States, Daniel J. Hopkins explores this trend and its implications for the American political system. The change is significant in part because it works against a key rationale of America’s federalist system, which was built on the assumption that citizens would be more strongly attached to their states and localities. It also has profound implications for how voters are represented. If voters are well informed about state politics, for example, the governor has an incentive to deliver what voters—or at least a pivotal segment of them—want. But if voters are likely to back the same party in gubernatorial as in presidential elections irrespective of the governor’s actions in office, governors may instead come to see their ambitions as tethered more closely to their status in the national party. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Congress Keith T. Poole, Howard Rosenthal, 2000 Using supercomputers, the authors have analyzed 16 million individual roll call votes since the two Houses of Congress began recording votes in 1789. By tracing the voting patterns of Congress throughout the country's history, Poole and Rosenthal find that, despite a wide array of issues facing legislators, over 80% of a legislator's voting decisions can be attributed to a consistent ideological position ranging from ultraconservatism to ultraliberalism. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: How Voters Decide Richard R. Lau, David P. Redlawsk, 2006-06-26 This book attempts to redirect the field of voting behavior research by proposing a paradigm-shifting framework for studying voter decision making. An innovative experimental methodology is presented for getting 'inside the heads' of citizens as they confront the overwhelming rush of information from modern presidential election campaigns. Four broad theoretically-defined types of decision strategies that voters employ to help decide which candidate to support are described and operationally-defined. Individual and campaign-related factors that lead voters to adopt one or another of these strategies are examined. Most importantly, this research proposes a new normative focus for the scientific study of voting behavior: we should care about not just which candidate received the most votes, but also how many citizens voted correctly - that is, in accordance with their own fully-informed preferences. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Classics in Voting Behavior Richard G. Niemi, 1993 A reader gathering highlights of the best original work in the study of American voting behavior from the late 1950s through the mid-1980s. The editors provide introductory essays that summarize each of a half-dozen areas of voting behavior research. Drawing from the first two editions of Controvers |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Many Faces of Strategic Voting John H Aldrich, André Blais, Laura B. Stephenson, 2018-11-20 Voters do not always choose their preferred candidate on election day. Often they cast their ballots to prevent a particular outcome, as when their own preferred candidate has no hope of winning and they want to prevent another, undesirable candidate’s victory; or, they vote to promote a single-party majority in parliamentary systems, when their own candidate is from a party that has no hope of winning. In their thought-provoking book The Many Faces of Strategic Voting, Laura B. Stephenson, John H. Aldrich, and André Blais first provide a conceptual framework for understanding why people vote strategically, and what the differences are between sincere and strategic voting behaviors. Expert contributors then explore the many facets of strategic voting through case studies in Great Britain, Spain, Canada, Japan, Belgium, Germany, Switzerland, and the European Union. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Comparing Democracies Lawrence LeDuc, Richard Niemi, Pippa Norris, 1996-08-29 11. Leaders - Ian McAllister |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Making Young Voters John B. Holbein, D. Sunshine Hillygus, 2020-02-20 The solution to youth voter turnout requires focus on helping young people follow through on their political interests and intentions. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: The Right to Vote Alexander Keyssar, 2009-06-30 Originally published in 2000, The Right to Vote was widely hailed as a magisterial account of the evolution of suffrage from the American Revolution to the end of the twentieth century. In this revised and updated edition, Keyssar carries the story forward, from the disputed presidential contest of 2000 through the 2008 campaign and the election of Barack Obama. The Right to Vote is a sweeping reinterpretation of American political history as well as a meditation on the meaning of democracy in contemporary American life. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Couple Resilience Karen Skerrett, Karen Fergus, 2015-07-08 This distinctive volume expands our understanding of couple resilience by identifying and exploring specific mechanisms unique to intimate relationships that facilitate positive adaptation to life challenges. Committed partnerships represent a unique form of relational alliance that offers an opportunity and challenge to go beyond the self - to develop as individuals and as a relationship. The contributors to this volume represent a range of perspectives that integrate conventional relationship science and innovative empirical and theoretical work on the importance of meaning-making, narrative construction, intersubjectivity, forgiveness, and positive emotion in couple life. The volume also offers a unique anchor point - ‘We-ness’ as it relates to the intersection between shared, personal identity and well-being. Under-examined relational contexts such as resilience among LGBT partners and sexual resilience during illness adds further refinement of thought and application. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Words That Matter Leticia Bode, Ceren Budak, Jonathan M. Ladd, 2020-05-26 How the 2016 news media environment allowed Trump to win the presidency The 2016 presidential election campaign might have seemed to be all about one man. He certainly did everything possible to reinforce that impression. But to an unprecedented degree the campaign also was about the news media and its relationships with the man who won and the woman he defeated. Words that Matter assesses how the news media covered the extraordinary 2016 election and, more important, what information—true, false, or somewhere in between—actually helped voters make up their minds. Using journalists' real-time tweets and published news coverage of campaign events, along with Gallup polling data measuring how voters perceived that reporting, the book traces the flow of information from candidates and their campaigns to journalists and to the public. The evidence uncovered shows how Donald Trump's victory, and Hillary Clinton's loss, resulted in large part from how the news media responded to these two unique candidates. Both candidates were unusual in their own ways, and thus presented a long list of possible issues for the media to focus on. Which of these many topics got communicated to voters made a big difference outcome. What people heard about these two candidates during the campaign was quite different. Coverage of Trump was scattered among many different issues, and while many of those issues were negative, no single negative narrative came to dominate the coverage of the man who would be elected the 45th president of the United States. Clinton, by contrast, faced an almost unrelenting news media focus on one negative issue—her alleged misuse of e-mails—that captured public attention in a way that the more numerous questions about Trump did not. Some news media coverage of the campaign was insightful and helpful to voters who really wanted serious information to help them make the most important decision a democracy offers. But this book also demonstrates how the modern media environment can exacerbate the kind of pack journalism that leads some issues to dominate the news while others of equal or greater importance get almost no attention, making it hard for voters to make informed choices. |
| science of understanding voting patterns: Drawdown Paul Hawken, 2017-04-18 • New York Times bestseller • The 100 most substantive solutions to reverse global warming, based on meticulous research by leading scientists and policymakers around the world “At this point in time, the Drawdown book is exactly what is needed; a credible, conservative solution-by-solution narrative that we can do it. Reading it is an effective inoculation against the widespread perception of doom that humanity cannot and will not solve the climate crisis. Reported by-effects include increased determination and a sense of grounded hope.” —Per Espen Stoknes, Author, What We Think About When We Try Not To Think About Global Warming “There’s been no real way for ordinary people to get an understanding of what they can do and what impact it can have. There remains no single, comprehensive, reliable compendium of carbon-reduction solutions across sectors. At least until now. . . . The public is hungry for this kind of practical wisdom.” —David Roberts, Vox “This is the ideal environmental sciences textbook—only it is too interesting and inspiring to be called a textbook.” —Peter Kareiva, Director of the Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA In the face of widespread fear and apathy, an international coalition of researchers, professionals, and scientists have come together to offer a set of realistic and bold solutions to climate change. One hundred techniques and practices are described here—some are well known; some you may have never heard of. They range from clean energy to educating girls in lower-income countries to land use practices that pull carbon out of the air. The solutions exist, are economically viable, and communities throughout the world are currently enacting them with skill and determination. If deployed collectively on a global scale over the next thirty years, they represent a credible path forward, not just to slow the earth’s warming but to reach drawdown, that point in time when greenhouse gases in the atmosphere peak and begin to decline. These measures promise cascading benefits to human health, security, prosperity, and well-being—giving us every reason to see this planetary crisis as an opportunity to create a just and livable world. |
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (2024)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns ? ; …
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns WebAnalysis of voting records The analysis of voting records has a long history in social and political science. Several approaches have been proposed in the literature for scoring the political ideology from voting data [14, 15]. The most popular techniques belong to the family of
RESEARCH PAPER Role of Social Media in Shaping Voting Patterns…
Voting is a complex and multifaceted phenomena. A number of theories explain that how people cast their vote. Voting behavior is the study of human political behavior in the realm of voting in elections (Biswas, 2023). There are a number of theories which explain the voting behavior of how people are involved and how they make decisions.
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns [PDF]
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns [PDF]
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Voting Behaviour in Malaysia: Locating the Sociological ... - IDOSI
could take place and influence the voting patterns in the studies in the 1960’s indicated that voting behaviours society. were volatile [5] [6] [7]. This called for a need to study the Research Objectives: unpredictability of the voting behaviours, various To explore the early studies on voting behaviour.In England, cross-class voting ...
Brazilian Presidential Elections: Analysing Voting Patterns in Time …
Analysing Voting Patterns in Time and Space Using a Simple Data Science Pipeline 5 Fig.2: GlobalMoran’sIndexvaluesforeachelectionyear. Clustering algorithms can be ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (book)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (2024)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (book)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns [PDF]
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Voting and the rise of populism: Spatial perspectives and …
observing election results, it often emerges that voting is not randomly distributed across space. This makes it very germane to consider the spatial dimension along with inter alia, political, social, economic and wellbeing factors, as it can enhance the understanding of voting patterns and the formulation of policy implications. Consequently ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (2024)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Factors Influencing Voting Decision: A Comprehensive
Soc. Sci. 2023, 12, 469 4 of 16 to changes in their voting decisions. It is important to note that the relationship between age and voting behavior can vary across different countries and contexts.
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (Download Only)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (2024)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (PDF)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (book) , …
Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns downloads refer to the process of acquiring digital copies of books in Portable Document Format (PDF). Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns offer readers the convenience of accessing Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns on various devices, from smartphones and tablets to laptops and e-readers.
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (Download Only)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Political Science 305: Elections and Voting Behavior
Political Science 305: Elections and Voting Behavior University of Wisconsin-Madison ... group and geographic patterns, economic accountability, issue voting, and more. ... develop a theoretical and empirical understanding of how individuals make voting decisions, (2) be able to analyze factors that affect the results of particular elections ...
Patterns of Congressional Voting - JSTOR
with pre-Depression voting patterns. The paper proceeds, in part 2, with a description of the behavioral model that represents this simple structure of roll call voting and a brief explanation of the estimation method, dubbed D-NOMINATE for Dynamic Nominal Three-Step Estimation. (The Appendix provides details concerning the estimation tech-
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns (Download Only)
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda Thorisdottir,2009-03-11 This new volume on Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification brings
Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns …
We might be averaging over the voting-age population, or the voting-eligible population, or the population of voters, or even a subset such as the people who voted for John McCain for president. In any case, label N j as therelevantpopulationincellj, and suppose we are interested in S:theaverageof j’s within some set J S of cells.
What Is The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns [PDF]
What Is The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Unconventional Wisdom Karen M. Kaufmann,John R. Petrocik,Daron R. Shaw,2008-06-05 Late deciders go for the challenger turnout helps the Democrats the gender gap results from a surge in Democratic preference among women these
External Voting The Patterns and Drivers of Central European
4 Migrant Perspectives on External Voting. 63. Making Sense of the Reasons Why Migrants Vote “Back Home” 67. Motivations for Voting in Country-of-Origin Elections. 69. The Practical Possibility of Casting the Vote in Elections. 72. Interacting Scales of Motivation for External Voting. 76. Emigration, External Voting, and Political ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
The Impact of Social Media Political Activists on Voting Patterns
Political Behavior 1 3 polarizationthroughincreasedpoliticalengagement.Inthisstudy,wecontributeto existingknowledgebyexploringtherelationshipbetweenthenormalizertheoryand
A SUMMARY OF VOTING PATTERNS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
A SUMMARY OF VOTING PATTERNS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY JULY 13, 2011 Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. I have been asked to evaluate and comment on the existing empirical evidence of racial bloc voting in Los Angeles County. For the past twelve years I have closely researched and analyzed voting patterns in Los Angeles County, first as a researcher at the Tomás
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns: Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification John T. Jost,Aaron C. Kay,Hulda ... description of the voting patterns of a single state or of a series of states in one geographic region but cuts across states and
The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns
3 The Science Of Understanding Voting Patterns Published at newredlist-es-data1.iucnredlist.org data, polling results, and election outcomes. This allows for the identification of correlations and trends that might otherwise go unnoticed. 2. Qualitative Research: Conducting interviews, focus groups, and surveys to understand the underlying ...
UNDERSTANDING VOTING BEHAVIOR IN TURKEY: ETHNICITY …
important than another? Do the predictions of the political science literature on voting behavior explain what is going on at the micro level in Turkey? Some of the previous work on voting behavior (Lazarsfeld et al. 1944, 1954; Campbell et al. 1960, 1966) postulate a link between party loyalty and social characteristics in defining voting ...
